摘要
本文基于联合国UN COMTRADE数据库,以维谢格拉德集团四国(包括波兰、捷克、斯洛伐克、匈牙利,简称V4国家)为代表测算了中日韩三国对中东欧国家的出口相似度指数,分析了中日韩在V4国家出口相似度较高的产品出口量的变化,并与三个国家同时期的出口总量变动进行比较。结论显示,中日韩三国在V4国家市场上存在着很强的竞争性,但中国对中东欧地区的出口增加并未对日本与韩国相应的出口产生挤出效应。而三个国家可以通过共同参与"一带一路"倡议,不断提升与中东欧国家的贸易水平。
Based on the UN COMTRADE database,the paper calculates the export similarity index of China,Japan and South Korea to V4countries from Central and Eastern Europe as the representative,and analyzes the changes in exports with high similarity between China,Japan,Korea and V4countries.The three countries'changes in the total volume of exports during the same period of comparison show that China,Japan and South Korea are highly competitive in the V4market.However,the increase in exports to Central and Eastern Europe countries from China didn’t have an extrusion effect on the exports of Japan and South Korea.These three countries can continuously improve the level of trading with Central and Eastern European countries by joining the"Belt and Road Initiative".
作者
刘洪钟
刘昊宇
Liu Hongzhong;Liu Haoyu
出处
《日本研究》
2018年第4期43-54,共12页
Japan Studies
基金
国家社科基金项目"‘一带一路’背景下中国引领东亚区域分工体系调整研究"(项目编号:18BJL111)
教育部研究阐释党的十九大精神专项任务"新时代推进‘一带一路’沿线国家命运共同体构建研究"
