摘要
以京沪高铁为例,采用基于双重倍差法的固定效应模型,从城市旅游收入和城市旅游人数两个方面,分析京沪高铁开通运营对地级市旅游经济的影响。研究表明,高速铁路通达整体上抑制了地方旅游经济的发展,而且这种效应具有很强的异质性;对经济较发达城市的旅游具有抑制效应,对经济欠发达但旅游资源丰富的城市有显著的促进作用;低消费旅游城市对高消费旅游城市的替代效应明显。
By different-indifferences model,taking Beijing-Shanghai Express Railway as an example,this paper analyzes the influence of railway on the tourism economy of prefecture-level cities from the two aspects,including urban tourism income and urban tourist population.Studies have shown that the access of high-speed railways has inhibited the development of local tourism economy,and this effect has a strong heterogeneity.It is a significant promotion for tourism cities with less developed economies and rich tourism resources,but it refrains developed cities.The role of low-consumption tourism cities in the high-consumption tourism cities has a significant substitution effect.
作者
王凯妮
邓小鹏
WANG Kai-ni;DENG Xiao-peng
出处
《经济论坛》
2018年第12期43-48,共6页
Economic Forum
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"国际高铁项目瞬时竞争优势的形成机理
动态度量及提升路径研究"(71771052)
关键词
高速铁路
旅游经济
双重差分法
京沪高铁
High-speed railway
Tourism economy
Difference-in-difference method
Beijing-Shanghai Express Railway
