摘要
目的探索性分析2012—2016年无锡市新吴区4类慢性非传染性疾病(慢性病)早死概率及趋势变化,为本地区实现"健康中国2030"重大慢性病早死概率下降目标提供建议和依据。方法通过对2012—2016年无锡市新吴区死因监测数据的整理,分析慢性病死亡率和4类慢性病早死概率;并以"健康中国2030"重大慢性病早死概率下降30.00%为目标,分析该区能否顺利实现目标。结果 2012—2016年无锡市新吴区户籍人口慢性病死亡占总死亡的85.00%以上,4类重大慢性病早死概率从10.07%下降到9.62%,年均下降速度为1.14%;男性4类慢性早死概率年均下降速度为0.60%,女性为1.96%,女性下降速度快于男性;男性4类慢性病早死概率高于女性,2012—2016年男性分别为女性的2.04倍、1.89倍、1.80倍、1.96倍和2.16倍。结论无锡市新吴区重大慢性病死亡概率呈下降趋势,4类慢性病早死概率男性远高于女性,按照目前下降速度实现"健康中国2030"目标尚有相当距离,建议进一步加强慢性病的预防和控制,特别是男性人群。
Objective Exploratory analysis of the probability and trend of premature mortality caused by four main chronic noncommunicable diseases(NCDs)in Xinwu District of Wuxi from 2012 to 2016,to provide suggestions and basis for realizing the goal of decreasing the probability of premature mortality of“Health China 2030”major NCDs in this region.Methods By collation the death surveillance data in Xinw,u District of Wuxi from 2012 to 2016,to analyze the NCD mortality and four main NCDs premature death probability.And the target of premature mortality of“Health China 2030”major NCDs dropped by 30.00%,so as to analyze whether the region can achieve the goal smoothly.Results From 2012 to 2016,the NCD deaths accounted for 85.0 0%of the total deaths in Xinwu District of Wuxi.Meanwhile,the probability of deaths from four premature NCDs mortality decreased from 10.07%to 9.62%,the average annual decline rate was 1.1 4%.The four main NCDs probability average annual decline rate of men is 0.60%,women are 1.96%,women decreased faster than men;men four main NCDs death probability is higher than that of females,from 2012 to 2016 years,males were 2.04 times,1.89 times,1.80 times,1.96 times and 2.16 times higher than women.Conclusion From 2012 to 2016,the probabilities of premature mortality of four main NCDs were declined in Xinwu District of Wuxi compared with women,the men had higher probabilities.Based on the results from 2012 to 2016,the task of achieving the“Health China 2030”target will be daunting.More attention should be paid to the control of risk factors for NCD premature deaths,especially in men.
作者
刘增超
胡磊
LIU Zengchao;HU Lei(Xinwu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Wuxi,Jiangsu 214023,China)
出处
《公共卫生与预防医学》
2018年第1期116-118,共3页
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine
