摘要
为探索在经济相对落后且生态环境脆弱的地区,经济增长与环境改善发展路径的可行性,以甘肃省为分析样本,选取该省12个城市2006—2013年的面板数据,采用固定效应模型,分析产业承接、经济增长与环境污染的内在因果关系。结果表明:甘肃省的产业承接呈现出快速增长的趋势,其增速远高于经济增速和污染排放增速;产业承接不仅对经济增长有促进作用,而且对环境也具有改善作用;甘肃省的经济增长与环境污染的关系,短期呈正相关,长期则呈倒U型关系。因此,甘肃省在未来的发展中,应充分发挥产业承接的双重作用。
Gansu Province was taken as the sample to investigate the feasibility of realizing economic growth and environmental improvement in the less developed areas with fragile ecological environment.The panel data of Gansu’s 12 cities in 2006-2013 were selected,and fixed effect model used to infer the internal causal relations among the undertaking of industrial transfer,economic growth and environmental pollution.The results show that the undertaking of industrial transfer in Gansu presents a trend of rapid growth,and the growth rate is much higher than the economic growth and pollution emissions.The undertaking of industrial transfer not only promotes the economic growth,but also improves the environment.There exists a positive correlation between economic growth and environmental degradation in Gansu Province in the short term,and it presents the inverted U-shaped curve in the long term.Therefore,it is suggested that the province should develop dual role of the undertaking of industry transfer in the future.
作者
石玉军
黄娟
SHI Yujun;HUANG Juan(Collaborative Innovation Center for China Economy,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China;School of Economics and Management,Gansu Institute of Political Science and Law,Lanzhou 730070,China)
出处
《环境工程技术学报》
CAS
2018年第2期205-211,共7页
Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD158)
关键词
甘肃省
产业承接
经济增长
环境污染
倒U型曲线
Gansu Province
undertaking of industrial transfer
economic growth
environmental pollution
inverted U-shaped curve
