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路径依赖·政策驱动:我国大城市远期空间发展的情景比较——以武汉市为例 被引量:1

A COMPARISON OF PATH-DEPENDENT SCENARIO AND POLICY-DRIVEN SCENARIO IN LONG-TERM SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT OF BIG CITIES IN CHINA: A CASE STUDY OF WUHAN
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摘要 路径依赖与政策驱动是我国大城市空间发展的两种典型情景。文章以武汉市为例,比较研究了两种情景下武汉市远期空间发展的动力、格局和战略选择差异。针对武汉市未来空间发展的战略选择指出:路径依赖情景下,应解体重组"六大新城组群"及"四大功能板块",打造"主城—副城—边缘城市一体化"的区域城市;政策驱动情景下,应建构"主城—新区双极核"的区域城市,培育专业特色化的政策新区。对城市未来空间发展的情景进行分析,顺应了规划编制从蓝图式向过程式转变的目标导向,可为我国大城市远期远景空间结构调控提供思路。 Path dependence and policy driving are two typical scenarios of spatial development in big cities in China.Taking Wuhan as a subject,the paper compares the driving force,development pattern and strategic choice of long-term spatial development in two scenarios.The strategic choice of the future spatial development in Wuhan points out that in the context of path-dependent scenario,it is necessary for Wuhan to disintegrate and reorganize the"six new town clusters"and"four functionall regions".And then,it should build an integrative regional city which covers"a main urban area,auxiliary urban areas and edge cities".In the policy-driven scenario,Wuhan should strengthen a regional city with"dual-centered structure with the main city and the new regions",and cultivate a specialized and featured new district.The scenario analysis on urban spatial development is in line with the goal orientation on planning transformation from blueprint design to process control,which can provide ideas for long-term spatial structure regulation of Chinese big cities.
作者 单卓然 黄亚平 陶德凯 卢有朋 Shan Zhuoran;Huang Yaping;Tao Dekai;Lu Youpeng
出处 《城市建筑》 2017年第12期37-40,共4页 Urbanism and Architecture
基金 国家自然科学基金重点项目(编号:51538004)国家自然科学基金项目(编号:51478199)
关键词 空间发展 情景分析 路径依赖 政策驱动 武汉市 spatial development scenario analysis Path-dependent policy-driven Wuhan
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