摘要
在政府大力推行电能替代的背景下,湖北省"十三五"期间对电量的需求量将会增加。结合电能消耗影响因素,应用SVR模型对湖北省"十三五"期间电能消耗量进行预测。预测结果表明,"十三五期间",湖北省电能消耗量将稳步上升,电能替代工作有较大发展空间。
Under the background that the government vigorously promotes power replacement,the electricity demand of Hubei province during the period of2016-2020will increase,which this essay forecasts based on SVR model combined with power consumption impact factors.Forecast results show that,during the period of2016-2020,the electricity consumption in Hubei province will increase steadily and the power replacement work has alarger development space.
作者
罗莉莉
邱泽晶
陈焕新
付威
万长瑛
LUO Li-li;QIU Ze-jing;CHEN Huan-xin;FU Wei;WAN Chang-ying(School of Energy and Power Engineering, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan 430074,China;Nanrui (Wuhan) Electrical Equipment and Engineering Energy Efficiency Evaluation Center, Wuhan 430074, China;State Grid Hubei Energy Conservation Service Co., Ltd., Wuhan 430074, China)
出处
《电力需求侧管理》
2017年第3期31-34,共4页
Power Demand Side Management
关键词
电能需求
影响因素
电能替代
负荷预测
power demand
impact factors
substitution of electricenergy
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