摘要
公路旅游客运量的预测是公路旅游运输客运发展和管理的基础 ,也是地区未来旅游发展趋势的预测 .笔者结合公路旅游客运的特点 ,提出了地区旅游客运总量的“弹性系数法”的常规预测模型 ;公路旅游客运量的“景点容量—吸引力模型”和“容量—车型模型” 。
The prediction of the road capacity of tourist transport is the basis for the development and management of road transportation and tourism, which indicates the developmental trend of regional tourism. Closely related to the characteristics of road tourist transport, this paper comes up with a regular predictive model, Elasticity Coefficient Method, about regional total volume of tourist transport. At the same time,“Scenic Capacity Attraction Model”and “Capacity Vehicle Mode Model”lay a theoretical basis for the configuration of vehicle mode for tour transportation and reasonable organization for transport.
出处
《重庆交通学院学报》
2002年第4期51-53,共3页
Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University
