摘要
以1993年至2017年的全国和中国新疆的国民生产总值(GDP)的数据为基础,在R语言平台上,通过新疆经济发展规律建立ARIMA模型,结合当时的政治制度以及前人对新疆发展的认知与评价,对新疆经济波动作出合理的分析,并预测了2019年与2020年两年的国民生产总值,对新疆经济发展做出更为客观的科学的评价。
Based on the national and Xinjiang GDP data from 1993 to 2017, this paper based on the R languageplatform, analyzes the time series, and takes the political system as the background, combined with the predecessors＇cognition and evaluation, makesa reasonable analysis on the economic fluctuation of Xinjiang, finds the law ofXinjiang＇s economic development and establish the ARIMA model, and forecasst the gross national product in 2019and 2020, and makes more economic development in Xinjiang.
作者
王斌
Wang Bin(College of Applied Mathematics,Xinjiang University of Finance ＆ Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012)
出处
《现代工业经济和信息化》
2018年第15期9-11,共3页
Modern Industrial Economy and Informationization
