摘要
作为三大旅游市场之一,国内旅游被证实有助于带动总体旅游市场的发展,有效地促进地区经济增长。针对国内旅游研究中的相对匮乏性、数据敏感性及研究不完整性等问题,本文以中国31个省市/自治区2006-2014年间的数据为例,结合需求供给理论和旅游地生命周期理论,通过普通面板和面板分位数模型对国内旅游影响因素进行分析,并进一步探讨各影响因素的影响在不同分位数间的动态性变化。研究表明,不同的影响因素对国内旅游需求的影响表现出明显的阶段性变化,揭示了国内旅游需求影响因素的变化特征。根据研究结果,本文建议应当注重旅游目的地与旅行社合作关系的建立与调整,平衡信息技术变化带来的优势和劣势,转换酒店等基础设施建设的经营思维;同时,特别关注环境变化及环保理念对旅游产业发展与经营的影响。
As one of the three major tourism markets, domestic tourism has been proved to help promoting the development of the overall tourism market and boosting regional economic growth. Aimed at solving the problems of relative lack of study on domestic tourism demand, sensitivity to the feature of data, and the incompleteness of existing studies, this paper analyzes the determinants of domestic tourism demand by using the data from 31 provinces/autonomous regions in China during the period 2006-2014. Combining the theory of demand and supply and the theory of tourist destination life cycle, this study further analyzes the dynamic variations of factors among different stages utilizing panel quantile skill. The findings show that the influences of different factors on domestic tourism demand change significantly among different stages. According to the research results, this study suggests that some attentions should be paid to the relationship between destination and travel agency, the balance of advantages and disadvantages from technical changes, the transformation thinking on the basic infrastructures such as hotel management, and special attentions should be paid to environment protection or relative concepts, which exert a critical influence in tourism industry development and management.
作者
林玉虾
林璧属
林文凯
LIN Yu-xia;LIN Bi-shu;LIN Wen-kai(School of Management,Xiamen University,Fujian Xiamen 361005,China;School of Tourism and Urban Management,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economic,Jiangxi Nanchang 330013,China)
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第6期1073-1085,共13页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71774135)
江西省自然科学基金项目(20171BAA218010)
