摘要
利用1978—2016年省级面板数据,采用多元对数线性函数分阶段实证分析了中国花生生产布局变化影响因素。结果表明,不同经济体制下花生生产布局变化的影响因素有所不同,各影响因素在不同经济体制下的影响程度也有所差异。无论在哪种经济体制下,花生生产布局均受到自然资源、经济效益比和消费需求等因素的显著正向影响。市场经济体制下,社会经济因素对花生生产布局变化影响较大。其中,科技进步对花生生产起到了推动作用,但非农就业机会对花生生产产生了强烈的冲击,目前中国花生良种补贴政策对花生生产并未起到显著影响。基于上述研究,文章提出了促进中国花生生产布局优化的建议。
This paper employs provincial panel data from 1978 to 2016 and multivariate logarithm linear function to analyze the affecting factors of peanut geographic concentration changes in stages. Empirical results show that the affecting factors on the changes of China＇s peanut geographic concentration are different in different economy systems and the influence degree of each factor also varies. Peanut geographic concentration changes are affected by the natural resources,the ratio of economic benefit and demand factors both in the planning-and market-driven economies. The influence of social-economic factors is higher than other factors in the market-driven economy. Among them,technology promotes the peanut production,but non-agricultural employment opportunities have strong negative impact on peanut production. At present,the peanut seed subsidy policy hasn＇t significant influence on peanut production. The paper puts forward measures to optimize China＇s peanut geographic concentration.
作者
张怡
王兆华
ZHANG Yi;WANG Zhaohua
出处
《农业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第9期112-122,共11页
Journal of Agrotechnical Economics
基金
国家农业部软科学项目“我国花生产业发展问题研究”(编号:20140205),“农业产业发展新旧动能转换问题研究”(编号:2018019)
山东省现代农业产业技术体系花生产业创新团队基金项目(编号:SDAIT-04-10)
青岛农业大学高层次人才科研基金“我国花生生产成本地区差异分析”(编号:6631115711)
关键词
花生生产布局
变化
影响因素
Peanut geographic concentration
Changes
Influencing factors
