摘要
选取6个典型城市的面板数据,构建变异指数、基尼指数和泰尔指数,分别从长短期描述了房产税政策运行情况。根据数据宏观分布图,提出相关假设和变量,构建面板数据模型,并针对房产税政策和限购政策节点构建了协整模型,得出房产税试点政策在短期有效、长期无效,效果弱于行政政策限购令,贷款利率上升一定程度上缓解了房价的上涨,且经济较不发达的地区对利率变化的敏感性较大,通货膨胀是影响房价和收入分配不平等的重要因素等结论。
This paper, selecting the panel data from six typical cities, constructs the variation index, Gini indexand Theil index, describes respectively the short-term and long-term operations of the real estate tax policy. Ac-cording to the macroscopic distribution, it puts forward relevant assumptions and variables and constructs a paneldata model, and then establishes a co-integration model at two nodes of the property tax policy and the purchase re-strictions. The results show that property tax pilot policy is effective in short-term operation but invalid in long-termoperation, the effect is weaker than the administrative policy of the purchase restrictions. In addition, the rising ofloan interest rate alleviates the price rising to a certain extent, the sensitivity to interest rate in less developed re-gions is big, and inflation is an important factor that affects housing price and income distribution inequality.
作者
杨彤
YANG Tong(School of Finance and Public Administration,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,China)
出处
《长春大学学报》
2018年第11期1-9,共9页
Journal of Changchun University
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(14CJY059)
安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSKQ2016D103)
关键词
房产税
面板协整模型
基尼系数
泰尔指数
property tax
panel co-integration model
Gini coefficien
Theil index
