摘要
2018年上半年我国宏观经济整体表现良好，经济逐步回暖。一方面，工业内部结构调整进一步加快，民间投资显著回升，进出口增速大幅回落，贸易结构进一步优化，财政收入稳中有升、财政支出进度加快；另一方面，全社会用电量增长态势明显，经济景气指数不断向好，PMI指数保持在景气区间，消费者信心指数仍位于景气区间。总体上看，中国经济上半年增长较高，下半年将有所下降，全年将呈现出“前高后低”趋势。本文据此提出下半年需要关注的几个问题，并对未来经济走势做出展望。
In the first half of 2018, China＇s macro economy as a whole performed well and the economy gradually recovered. On the one hand, the internal structural adjustment of the industry has further accelerated, private investment has rebounded remarkably, the growth rate of import and export has fallen sharply, the trade structure has been further optimized, fiscal revenue has risen steadily, and fiscal expenditure has accelerated. On the other hand, the whole society has increased its electricity consumption. Obviously, the economic sentiment index continues to improve, the PMI index remains in the boom zone, and the consumer confidence index is still in the boom zone. On the whole, the growth of the Chinese economy in the first half of the year is relatively high, and will decline in the second half of the year. The whole year will show a trend of＂before high and then low＂. Based on this, this paper proposes several issues that need attention in the second half of the year and forecasts the future economic trends.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第8期42-46,共5页
Price:Theory & Practice
关键词
宏观经济走势
宏观先导指标
宏观调控
Macroeconomic trends
Macro-leading indicators
Macroeconomic regulation
