摘要
选用南丰国家气象观测一级站1981-2017年37 a大气探测及农业气象观测资料,使用Excel图表、线性气候倾向率、相关分析等方法分析冬末春初气温对南丰物候和年气候的影响。结果发现:南丰县冬末春初平均气温、平均最高气温不仅随年际线性相关显著,而且与柑桔、板栗、楝树芽开放、开花期及年平均气温、年平均最高气温、年平均最低气温、年平均地表温度、年平均最低地表温度等线性相关显著;同时,南丰柑桔、板栗、楝树开花期与年平均气温、年平均最高气温、年平均最低气温、年平均最低地表温度等线性相关显著。由此可见,气候变化不仅影响物候变化,物候变化也可以预示气候变化。
1981 - 2017 years 37 a atmospheric and agro meteorological observation data of Nanfeng national meteorological observation station were selected, using Excel charts, linear climate trend rate, correlation analysis and other methods, the effects of temperature in late winter and early spring on phenology and annual climate in Nanfeng were analyzed. The results were as follows：The average temperature and mean maximum temperature in late winter and early spring are not only linearly correlated with interannual correlation. Moreover, it has a linear correlation with the opening of citrus, chestnut, neem bud, flowering period and annual mean air temperature , average annual maximum temperature , annual mean minimum temperature , annual mean surface temperature and annual mean minimum surface temperature . At the same time, the flowering period of Nanfeng citrus, chestnut and neem tree was significantly correlated with annual average temperature , annual mean maximum temperature , annual mean minimum temperature and annual mean minimum surface temperature . Thus it can be seen,climate change not only affects phenological changes,but also changes in phenology.
作者
何寿仁
邓圣
HE Shouren;DENG Sheng(Meteorological Bureau of Nanfeng County,344500,Nanfeng,Jiangxi,PR)
出处
《江西科学》
2018年第5期821-823,共3页
Jiangxi Science
关键词
冬末春初
气温
南丰物候
年气候
early winter and early spring
air temperature
Nanfeng phenology
annual climate
