摘要
基于全国生育状况抽样调查江西数据,以7582名15~49岁育龄妇女为研究对象,采用单因素卡方检验和多因素Logistic回归分析方法,结果表明:(1)一个家庭中最理想子女数为2个的占同类调查样本总数的81%;(2)非农业户籍女性生育意愿大于农业户籍(OR=1.416);(3)未流出省外的生育意愿弱于流出省外的(OR=0.56);(4)20~24岁(OR=1.734)和25~29岁(OR=1.388)女性的生育意愿大于15~19岁的生育意愿;(5)非农就业的女性生育意愿明显高于务农和料理家务的女性;(6)家庭月平均收入1500~6000元,生育意愿与收入呈正相关;(7)6000~9000元呈负相关;(8)民族和健康状况对女性的生育意愿影响不显著。理想状态下的生育意愿与实际生育行为之间有差距,并就实施好全面两孩政策提出建议。
In this paper, based on 7582 fertile women as the research object, using SPSS20.0 software for data statistics and analysis, using the single factor chi-square test and the multi-factor Logistic regression analysis method, the results show that thinks the ideal number of children in a family of two to eighty-one percent of the total number of the same sample. Female fertility of non-agricultural household registration is greater than that of agricultural household registration （OR =1.416） ; Less than the outflow from the province outside the province （OR=0.56） ; The reproductive willingness of women aged 20-24 （OR=1.734） and 25-29 years old （OR=1.388） is greater than that of 15-19 years old; Non-farm employment was significantly higher in women than in agriculture and household service ; The average monthly income of the family is 1500-6000 yuan, and the willingness to bear children is positively con＇elated with the income. 6000-9000 yuan is negatively correlated; National and health conditions have no significant impact on women＇s reproductive intentions. There is a gap between the ideal fertility intention and the actual fertility behavior, then put forward the suggestion of implementing the comprehensive two-child policy.
作者
周斌
ZHOU Bin(Health arid Family Planning Commission of Jiangxi Province,Nanchang Jiangxi 330006,China)
出处
《西北人口》
CSSCI
2018年第6期96-105,共10页
Northwest Population Journal
基金
江西省社会科学规划专项课题
江西省经济社会发展专项课题"全面实施二孩政策对江西人口
社会发展问题研究"(项目编号:16ZT40)
