摘要
分析研究了山东省电力消费与经济增长的协整关系检验,证明山东省的电力消费与经济增长间具有长期的均衡关系。采用H-P滤波方法分离出全社会用电量和实际GDP的对数序列的趋势成分和周期成分,结果表明,山东省电力消费和经济增长的趋势成分之间存在共同趋势,周期成分具有几乎一致的波动特征。
The co-integration test between electricity consumption and economic growth in Shandong Province isanalyzed and studied. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between electricityconsumption and economic growth in Shandong Province. The trend components and periodic components of thelogarithmic series of electricity consumption and real GDP are separated by HP filtering method. The results show thatthere isa common trend between the trend components of electricity consumption and economic growth in ShandongProvince, and the periodic components have almost the same fluctuation characteristics.
作者
韩晓宇
Han Xiaoyu(CEC Electric Power Development Institute,Beijing 100053)
出处
《现代工业经济和信息化》
2018年第12期3-5,9,共4页
Modern Industrial Economy and Informationization
