摘要
近年来我国失能老人数量持续增长,失能老人长期照护成为我国学术界持续关注的热点问题。因此,有必要评估和分析我国现存的老年长期护理筹资方式、筹资渠道、筹资规模等,其研究结论可以为我国未来制定相关的社会政策提供借鉴,使我国失能老人长期护理体系制度建设更合理且更有效率。本文在对我国老年人失能率、老年人失能规模、失能等级、失能老人护理使用率、不同护理方式的护理成本等相关变量进行定量分析的基础上,根据我国长期护理的市场供给价格,以大量抽样调查样本数据为依据,采用"总体仿真模型"测算出2015-2050年我国失能老人长期照护资金的筹集规模,为我国建立老年人长期护理保险制度提供参考和依据。
At present,China＇s population disability elderly is developing rapidly,which has led to a hot issue in the academic community in China. Therefore,it is necessary for us to evaluate and analyze the financing modes,financing channels and funding scale,etc. These findings will be beneficial to China＇s future development of social policies. It will also make the system of long-term care for the disability elderly in our country reasonable and efficient. First of all,this paper studies the rate of disability elderly,the scale of disability elderly,the level of disability elderly,the utilization rate of care for the disability elderly,and the nursing cost of different nursing methods. Then,it determines the market supply price of long term care in China and collect a large sample survey data. Finally,the＂overall simulation model＂was used to measure the size of the long-term care fund for disabled elderly in China from 2015 to 2050. The results can provide reference and basis for the long-term care insurance system for the disabled elderly in China.
作者
李元
LI Yuan(School of Public Administration,Changchun University of Technology,Changchun Jilin,130012,China)
出处
《人口学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期78-85,共8页
Population Journal
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目:失能老人长期照护资金规模测算及筹集模式研究(16CRK018)
关键词
长期护理保险
筹资模式
老年长期照护
资金规模
Long-term Care Insurance
Funding Mode
Long-term Care for the Elderly
Fund Size
