摘要
基于2000—2015年行业实际汇率数据,对人民币实际汇率对我国制成品行业出口及出口结构的影响进行了实证分析。研究发现人民币实际升值对于我国制成品出口中大多数行业出口存在一定负面影响,尤其是自2013年第四季度以来,受人民币实际升值显著不利影响的行业(尤其是技术密集型行业)数目不断增加,说明其影响趋于扩大。从出口结构上来看,人民币实际升值对于不易模仿的技术密集型产品出口相对于制成品出口的比重在2013年之前存在着一定的促进作用,但此后该影响已不显著。
Based on the real industry exchange rate data from 2000 to 2015,an empirical analysis is made on the impact of real exchange rate of RMB on the export and export structure of China＇s manufactured goods industry. Found the real appreciation has certain negative effects for most industry export of China＇s manufactured exports,especially since the fourth quarter of 2013, the number of industries, especially technology-intensive ones, which have been significantly adversely affected by the real appreciation of RMB has increased. From export structure point of view,the real appreciation is a certain role in promoting the technology-intensive products exports difficult to imitate relative to the proportion of manufactured goods exports in 2013 before there,but the effect is not significant.
作者
范言慧
闫宇航
Fan Yanhui,Yan Yuhang(School of Finance,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,Chin)
出处
《河北经贸大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期56-62,共7页
Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business
关键词
人民币实际汇率
行业出口
出口结构
行业实际汇率
技术密集型行业
RMB real exchange rate
industrial export
export structure
industry real exchange rate
technology intensiveindustry
