摘要
文章选取了我国31个省份2012—2016年的面板数据,通过固定效应和双向固定效应模型回归分析,对我国金融体系效率、居民消费水平和经济发展之间的动态关系进行实证分析。结果表明:(1)在我国经济发展进入新时代的背景下,消费水平的提升显著促进了经济增长。(2)金融体系的效率随着金融供给侧结构性改革深化,也较大程度地推动了经济发展。(3)如果再叠加金融供给侧结构性改革对消费需求的提升作用,特别是互联网金融、普惠金融等金融改革,那么消费对经济增长的推动作用更显著。
The paper selects the panel data of China's 31 provinces and cities from 2012 to 2016 to make a regression analysis on the fixed effect and two-way fixed effect model and empirically analyze the dynamic relationship between China's financial system efficiency, residents' consumption level and economic development. The study results show that 1) in the context of China's economic development entering a new era, the promotion of consumption level significantly promotes economic growth; 2) with the deepening of the financial supply-side structural reform, the efficiency of the financial system has also greatly promoted the development of the economy; 3) if we add the structural reform of financial supply side to the consumption demand, especially the financial reform such as the Internet finance and inclusive finance, consumption will play a more significant role in promoting economic growth.
作者
张晓波
Zhang Xiaobo(Chongqing Municipal Committee Party School of the CCP,Chongqing 400041,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第15期158-161,共4页
Statistics & Decision
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CKS008)
重庆市社会科学规划博士项目(2015BS076)
关键词
金融供给侧结构性改革
消费需求
经济增长
financial supply-side structural reform
consumption demand
economic growth