摘要
在供给侧结构性改革深入推进的背景下,以国内外研究为基础,立足于国内纺织业结构升级现状,文章选取1995-2015年数据构建影响纺织业结构升级的因素指标体系,采用Granger因果检验分析了数据的因果关系,并建立VAR模型对相关指标进行估计。研究结果表明:FDI对纺织业结构升级有促进作用,技术进步在后期成为推动行业结构升级的主要因素,而劳动力的投入在前期可以推动结构升级,但后期可能会产生阻碍作用。
Based on the domestic and foreign research,and based on the current situation of the domestic textile industry upgrading,this article selects data of 1995-2015 to establish the index system of influencing the upgrading of textile structure.The causal relationship of the data was analyzed using Granger causality test and a VAR model was established to estimate the related indicators.The results show that FDI can promote the upgrading of textile industry,and technological progress becomes the main factor to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure in the later stage.However,the investment of labor force only can promote the structural upgrading in the early stage,but may hinder the latter stage.
作者
江三良
李晓梅
Jiang San-liang;Li Xiao-mei(Anhui University,Hefei Anhui 230601,China)
出处
《铜陵学院学报》
2018年第2期3-7,12,共6页
Journal of Tongling University
关键词
供给侧
纺织业
结构升级
VAR模型
supply side
textile industry
structural upgrade
VAR model
