摘要
本文以2002-2014年重庆市旅游业发展与城市化进程的时间序列数据为依据,通过采用单位根检验、协整分析和Grange因果检验,对重庆市旅游业发展和城市化进程之间的互动关系作了定量分析。研究结果表明,重庆市旅游业发展与城市化进程二者之间存在双向的Grange因果关系,即旅游业发展会促进重庆的城市化进程,而重庆城市化进程又能带动当地旅游业的发展,但是重庆的城市化进程对旅游业发展的带动作用不稳定。最后针对重庆市旅游业发展与城市化进程的协同,提出相关的对策建议。
Based on the tourism development and urbanization process in chongqing from 2002 to 2014 on the basis of the time series data, by using unit root test, cointegration analysis and Grange causality test, the tourism industry in chongqing. The results show the relationship about tourism fast development and urban-ization process in Chongqing exist two-way Grange causality, namely tourism development will promote the ur-banization process of chongqing, the chongqing city process and to promote the development of local tourism,but chongqing urbanization leading role for the development of tourism is not stable. Finally in view of the collaborative development and urbanization of chongqing tourism, put forward some countermeasures and Sug-gestions.
作者
张弛
陈涛
冼军李
陈岳彤
ZHANG Chi;CHEN Tao;XIAN Jun-li;CHEN Yue-tong(School of Architecture and Planning,Yunnan University,650500,Kunming,Yunnan,Chin)
出处
《特区经济》
2018年第6期130-133,共4页
Special Zone Economy
