摘要
老龄化时代的到来,老年旅游成为未来旅游市场的重要组成部分,但目前对老年旅游市场较为细致的研究仍显单薄。文章基于积极心理学的主要理论,采用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2011年和2013年数据,对老年人的身体状况因素及心理状况因素对其出游参与的影响进行估计,从而识别出影响老年人家庭出游的主要限制性因素。研究结果表明:身体状况会限制以家庭为单位的老年人的出游参与,但仅仅是在以走路能力、爬楼梯能力等为代表的基本日常活动能力出现困难时,老年人出游参与的概率会降低;大多数慢性病对老年人出游参与的影响不显著,但血脂异常变量对城市老年人的出游参与产生了显著影响,而对农村居民的影响并不显著。与身体状况相比,心理状况的稳定影响着老年人的出游参与概率,且无城乡差异,表现出无论是个体还是家庭,心态越积极乐观,对未来越充满期待,出游参与的概率则越大的特征。
Elderly tourism has become an important part of the tourism market. However, there is little current research on the elderly tourism market. Based on the main theories of positive psychology, my study used data from CHARLS2011 and 2013 to estimate the physical and psychological factors that affect the elderly who attempt travel, as well as to identify the main limiting factors affecting outbound elderly family travel. The conclusions are as follows： （1） Physical conditions that restrict the participation of the elderly in tourism include physical abilities as the main limiting factor. There are differences in the effects of different abilities and differences between urban and rural areas. Walking ability is the main restricting factor. The abilities to climb stairs, bend the knees, and squat show differences between urban and rural areas. The participation of the elderly is not affected by most chronic diseases, except for dyslipidemia, which has a positive effect on the decisions of the elderly to undertake travel. （2） Psychological status also has an impact on the elderly＇ s participation in tourism. Based on positive psychology and social socioemotional selectivity theory, this article selects two types of variables that represent psychological conditions. One variable is a stable emotional state while the other is life expectancy, which represents the degree of optimism. Both variables significantly affect the likelihood of older people＇ s participation in family travel. The variables exhibit no differences between urban and rural areas. （3） A robustness test has proven the restrictive factors of participation in tourism obtained from the main effect estimation to be robust. The psychological variables have a stable influence on the elderly＇ s participation in travel and the influence of basic physical abilities is also relatively stable. （4） The results show that the better the mental state of the whole family, the higher is the probability of participation in family travel. The
作者
任明丽
李群绩
何建民
REN Mingli, LI Qunji, HE Jianmin(School of Business Administration, Shanghai University of Finance ＆ Economics, Shanghai 200433, Chin)
出处
《旅游学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期26-43,共18页
Tourism Tribune
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究基金项目"家庭养老视角下健康
贫困与代际支持的关系研究"(14YJC790044)
江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金项目"家户特征
行为能力对老年家户旅游消费水平的影响研究"(2016SJD630141)
国家旅游局2017年万名英才计划研究型英才培养项目"退休对中国老年旅游消费的影响研究"(WMYC20171089)共同资助~~
关键词
身体状况
心理状况
出游限制
Probit估计
elderly travel
physical condition
psychological status
travel constraint
Probit estimates
