摘要
基于拓展的比较优势理论,结合典型事实,对国内外能源价格差异、比较优势对出口贸易的影响进行理论研究,最后采用国际面板PPML模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明:能源价格差异所产生的比较优势对中国出口贸易的影响与国际能源价格水平有关;只有当国际能源价格处于高位时,能源价格差异才会通过比较优势显著促进中国出口贸易发展,尤其是对能源密集型商品出口的作用更加明显;能源利用效率的提升会加强能源价格差异的比较优势,从而扩大能源价格差异带来的出口贸易促进效应;随着能源价格改革不断推进,能源价格差异对出口贸易的影响有所减弱。
Based on the development theory of comparative advantage, this paper makes a theoretical research on the energy price difference, comparative advantage and their impact on export trade at home, and uses the international panel PPML model for the empirical analysis. The results show that the impact of the comparative advantage brought by energy price differences on China＇s export trade is related with the level of international energy prices. Only when the international energy prices remain high, can the energy price difference promote China＇s export trade development by the comparative advantage channel, especially for energy intensive goods export. The improvement of energy efficiency could increase the impact of ener- gy prices difference in comparative advantage, so the difference in energy prices could further enlarge the promotion in export. With the market - oriented reform of the energy price system step by step, the impact of difference in energy prices on the export has been reduced, if the energy consumption pattern does not transform optimally as soon as possible accordingly, the decrease of difference in energy prices will have negative impact on the export at home.
作者
刘建
熊燕
LIU Jian1,2 ，XIONG Yan1(1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economies, Nanchang 330013 ; 2. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 10073)
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第2期76-87,共12页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"非传统安全视角下中国能源安全现状及对策研究"(15CJY032)
江西财经大学学生科研课题专项资助项目
