摘要
概率潮流计算能够处理电力系统中的各种不确定性因素,是可再生能源大规模接入背景下电力系统静态运行安全分析的重要工具。该文将奇异值分解技术和全概率理论引入随机响应面法概率潮流计算框架中,提出一种能够处理高维随机变量的概率潮流计算方法,并在概率潮流计算过程中考虑输电支路随机故障和常规发电机组的有功功率调度。采用标准测试系统对所提方法的有效性进行验证。算例仿真分析结果表明所提方法能够灵活处理多种类型的输入随机变量,并同时具有良好的计算效率和精度。
With the large-scale integration of renewable energy generation systems, the accurate and efficient probabilistic load flow calculation is of great importance to the static operation analysis of power systems. By introducing the singular value decomposition and the total probability theory to the stochastic response surface method, this paper proposed a new probabilistic load flow calculation method. The generation dispatch of active power was also considered in the calculation scheme to better handle with the uncertain power injections. The validity of the proposed method was tested on standard test system. The simulation results show that the proposed method can deal with various of stochastic variables and has the advantages of satisfactory computation efficiency and calculation accuracy.
作者
孙鑫
陈金富
段献忠
鲁宗相
SUN Xin;CHEN Jinfu;DUAN Xianzhong;LU Zongxiang(State Key Laboratory of Advanced Electromagnetic Engineering and Technology （School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology）, Wuhan 430074, Hubei Province, China;State Key Laboratory of Control and Simulation of Power Systems and Generation Equipment （Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University）, Haidian District, Beijing 100084, China)
出处
《中国电机工程学报》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第9期2551-2560,共10页
Proceedings of the CSEE
基金
国家重点研发计划支持项目(2016YFB0900100)~~
关键词
概率潮流
随机响应面法
奇异值分解
全概率理论
发电机调度
probabilistic load flow
stochastic responsesurface method
singular value decomposition
total probabilitytheory
generation dispatch
