摘要
依据1990—2015年各省份物流业数据,通过采用超越对数生产函数和回归模型对中国物流业全要素生产率(TFP)演化进程及其影响机制进行了分析,研究结果表明:技术进步已经成为推动物流业TFP增长的主要动力,而技术效率的促进作用已经逐渐放缓并呈现出下降趋势,对推动TFP的增长开始呈现出局限性。通过对影响中国物流业生产率增长的各因素进行回归分析发现:由于粗放型的经营模式,使得经济增长规模和固定资产投资对中国物流业TFP的增长并未起到良好的推动作用;第一产业、第二产业、第三产业、人力资本投入以及社会消费品投入额对物流业TFP的提升均具有积极推动作用,但人力资本的影响效应并不具有显著的影响效应。
Based on the the data of logistics industry from 1990 to 2015 in different provinces,the paper use translog stochastic frontier model and the regression model to analyze the evolution of logistics industry TFP and it＇s influencing mechanism in China.The results show that technological progress has became the main driving force for logistics TFP growth,and the promotion effect of technical efficiency has gradually slowed down which restrained the development of logistics TFP.Through the analysis of five factors that may affect the growth rate of China＇s logistics TFP by the method of regression.The paper indicated that because of extensive growth mode,the scale of economic growth and the fixed assets investment have a negative impact on the growth of China＇s logistics TFP,the first industry,the second industry and the third industry,human capital investment and the investment amount of social consumer goods have the significant effect on logistics industry TFP＇s growth,but the effect of human capital investment is not remarkable.
作者
郁葱茏
YU Cong long(Asset Management Center, Yong An Insurance Co. LTD. , Xi ＇ an 710000, China)
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期50-57,共8页
Journal of Statistics and Information
关键词
物流业
全要素生产率
影响机制
logistics industry
total factor productivity
influencing mechanism
