摘要
2017年,中国石油进口依存度升至72.3%,包括原油、成品油、液化石油气和其他产品在内的石油净进口量达到4.188亿吨,比2016年上升10.7%。2017年中国原油进口量为4.2亿吨,超过美国成为全球最大的原油进口国。国内成品油市场持续供过于求,以柴油为主的成品油净出口量增至2270万吨。全年中国进口液化石油气1845万吨,但升幅减弱。2018年,国际油价将进一步攀升,国内成品油需求会维持低速增长,在新增炼油能力投产的推动下,预计中国原油进口量仍将显著上升,石油进口依存度进一步上升到近75%。化工产品市场的增长潜力和迫切的原料需求将使中国液化石油气进口量再攀新高。
In 2017, China＇s net oil imports including crude oil, refined oil, LPG and other products, reached 418.8 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, with a high degree of import dependence of 72.3%. The crude oil imports reached 420 million tons, surpassing the United States as the world＇s largest importer of crude oil. The net exports of refined oil products mainly diesel continued to increase to 22.7 million tons, due to consistent oversupply of domestic market. China imported 18.45 million tons of LPG throughout the year under the weaker increase. China＇s economy is still under downward pressure in 2018 and oil prices will climb further. However, with the new refining capacity startup, the crude oil imports are still expected to increase significantly, which may let import dependence rise further to nearly 75%. The growth potential of the chemical product market and the urgent demand for the feedstock will make the imports of LPG get to the new high.
作者
田春荣
TIAN Chunrong(SINOPEC Grou)
出处
《国际石油经济》
2018年第3期10-20,共11页
International Petroleum Economics
