摘要
农民工的流动性使其城市住房选择面临额外的"沉没成本"约束。本文利用武汉市628个农民工家庭的样本数据,实证分析发现:城市居留意愿是影响农民工城市住房条件的主要因素,表明农民工城市住房消费是其根据自身留城条件和预期进行理性选择的结果。高流动性约束下农民工住房总体上呈现"生产资本品"属性,其服务并附属于劳动产生的特征十分明显。降低农民工的高流动性预期、提升其留城意愿将有效释放转移人口住房消费潜能、促使其自主改善城市居住条件,助推城镇化持续健康发展。
Mobility posesa ＇ sunk cost＇ constraint to migrant workers＇ choice of urban housing. The article establishes a Structural Equation Modeling （ SEM ） and Conditional Mixed-Process （ CMP ） model to estimate effects of the constraint on migrants＇ housing choice, based on a 628 household surveysample obtained in Wuhan. It finds that results of the SEM estimation shows that the intention of settling down is the key influencing factor of migrants＇ housing condition, indicating a rational response according to whether they plan to leave or to stay. The result of the CMP estimation shows that housing of migrant workers generally takes on an attribute of ＇productive capital goods＇ more than ＇ordinary living goods＇ Implications of these conclusions are, promoting migrants＇ intentions of settling down and enhancing urban centripetal forces by strengthening external institutional and policy support, are the critical lever of resolving housing problems of the transferred population as well as boosting the development of urbanization.
出处
《经济体制改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第1期73-80,共8页
Reform of Economic System
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“农民工市民化优先瞄准对象的甄别评估体系构建研究”(14CSH024).
关键词
农民工
流动性
城市住房
理性选择
migrant workers
mobility
urban housing
rational choice
