摘要
特朗普能源新政的主要内容包括解除对化石能源生产的限制、加大页岩油气生产供应、振兴煤炭工业、实现能源独立等措施。在此新政刺激下,预计3~5年内国际石油价格仍将在低位徘徊,全球煤炭价格将长期低迷,可再生能源将保持继续增长但速度将放缓。特朗普能源新政的实施有利于降低我国原油进口成本,加快我国煤炭行业去产能,将使中美两国在清洁煤技术领域有更多的合作空间;但是,特朗普取消《巴黎协定》将增大全球气候变化目标的实现难度,中美两国在应对气候变化与低碳经济中的合作将受到影响。针对特朗普新政,我国应进一步加大原油储备,加快煤炭行业去产能,积极推动"一带一路"能源合作,继续倡导《巴黎协定》。
Trump's new energy policy, which includes an increase in the supply and production of shale oil and gas and the revitalization of the coal industry, is an attempt to achieve energy independence by lifting restrictions on fossil energy production. Meanwhile, international oil prices are expected to remain low for three to five years, and global coal prices will remain reduced for the foreseeable future. The implementation of the new energy policy is beneficial to the realization of diversified oil and gas imports in China and will accelerate the reduction of excess capacity in China's coal industry. There will be more space for cooperation in the field of clean coal technology between China and the United States. At the same time,this policy will make it more difficult to overcome the global threat of climate change. Though cooperation between China and the United States with respect to advocating a low-carbon economy and combating climate change is adversely affected,it is difficult to reverse the trend of green, low-carbon development. Accordingly, China will further increase crude oil reserves,accelerate the reduction of excess capacity in the coal industry, and actively promote the "Belt and Road Initiatives" energy cooperation while continuing to advocate for the Paris Agreement.
出处
《西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）》
2018年第1期12-18,共7页
Journal of Southwest Petroleum University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
2014年山东能源经济协同创新中心重大资助项目"山东省能源活动温室气体排放清单研究"(2014SDXT001)
山东能源经济协同创新中心(山东省2011计划)资助
关键词
特朗普能源新政
能源合作
页岩气生产
清洁煤技术
《巴黎协定》
Trump's new energy policy
energy cooperation
shale gas production
clean coal technology
Paris Agreement
