摘要
针对考虑市场前景的运载火箭多阶段研制项目管理优化问题,以火箭研制流程为基础,建立了多阶段GERT网络模型,用图示的方式描述项目活动,探析了火箭研制过程中时间、费用和质量之间相互作用关系(TCQ)并以此拓展了GERT网络传统解析算法;针对市场前景多可能性,结合多阶段GERT网络模型和前景理论构建了多阶段综合前景价值最大化的优化模型;最后以某火箭研制项目为例,详细描述该方法的具体实施步骤。研究结果表明通过对火箭研制项目中TCQ的优化调整能给项目活动带来更大的前景价值。
Aiming at management optimization of a multistage development project and considering market prospect for alaunch vehicle, a multistage GERT network model is established based on the process of rocket development. The projectactivity is described in graphical way, and extending the traditional analytic algorithm of GERT network by analyzing theinteraction between time, cost and quality in the process of rocket development （TCQ）. In view of the possibility of marketprospect, a multistage optimization model of comprehensive prospect value is constructed by combining the multistageGERT network model and Prospect theory. Finally, taking a rocket development project as an example, the specificimplementation steps of the method are described and the result shows that the optimization adjustment of TCQ in the rocketdevelopment project can bring greater prospect value to the project activities than before.
出处
《工业工程》
2017年第6期65-76,共12页
Industrial Engineering Journal
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71601002
71171112
71502073)
国家社会科学基金重点资助项目(14AZD049)
教育部人文社科研究青年基金资助项目(16YJC630077)
安徽省自然科学基金资助项目(1708085MG168)
关键词
运载火箭
GERT(图示评审技术)网络
TCQ优化
前景理论
Carrier rocket
GERT（graphical evalution and review technique） network
TCQ （time, cost and quality）optimization
Prospect theory
