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中国服务贸易出口潜力研究——基于随机前沿模型的实证分析 被引量:13

A Study of China's Export Potential of Service Trade Based on Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model
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摘要 通过构建随机前沿模型,利用中国对28个代表国家2000-2015年的面板数据,实证估算中国服务贸易出口潜力及影响因素。研究结果表明:外国GDP及两国间的地理距离是影响中国服务贸易出口的主要因素;中国对大部分国家服务贸易出口是不足的,潜力有待进一步的挖掘和实现;在导致中国服务贸易出口非效率影响因素中,国外经济自由度、已签署自由贸易协定、政府效能、监管质量的提高和改善能够促进贸易潜力的实现。所在国腐败的控制力度、政治稳定性、法制水平则对中国服务贸易出口起到负面抑制作用。 Based on the stochastic frontier model,this paper employs panel data of China and 28 countries from 2000 to 2015 and conducts empirical evaluations of the service trade export potential of China to foreign countries and the influencing factors.The results show that the per capita GDP of China and geographical distance between two countries are important factors affecting China's service trade export.China's service trade export to foreign countries is insufficient,with potentials to be further explored and realized.Among the factors that lead to the non-efficiency of China's service trade export to foreign countries,the economic freedom of foreign countries,the signature of free trade agreement,government effectiveness,and regulatory quality enhancement can promote the realization of the potential,while the control of corruption,political stability,and the development of legal system of foreign countries have negative effects on China's service trade exports.
出处 《亚太经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2017年第6期58-63,共6页 Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金 国家社科基金一般项目"全球价值链重构视角下我国外贸增速下滑问题研究"(批准号:16BJY128)成果
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