摘要
探究老年人口的空间分布情况,是实现老年精准服务、优化老年资源配置的重要前提。采用GIS的空间分析方法,对特大型城市上海的老年人口空间分布情况进行研究,对其影响因素进行了探讨。2015年上海老年人口的综合分布总体呈现从东北到西南递减态势,密度上呈现中间高四周低、区域分布不均衡的态势,深度老龄化趋势明显,圈层结构特征显著;通过空间自相关分析,发现上海老年人口存在较强的正向空间自相关性,老年人口空间分布的同质性较强,且老年人口空间集聚开始发生扩散,郊区化趋势开始加剧。上海老年人口的空间差异受政治、经济、文化等多种因素的影响,其中公园等环境因素、医疗卫生服务人员等公共服务配置情况、体育设施资源等都对上海老年人口空间分布产生了重大影响。
Exploring the spatial distribution of the elderly population is an important prerequisite for the elderly to achieve accurate service and optimize the allocation of resources for the elderly. The spatial distribution of the elderly population in the super - sized city Shanghai was studied by GIS spatial analysis method, and the influencing factors were discussed. The results showed that the overall distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai was decreasing from the northeast to the southwest in 2015. The density of the resident elderly population in Shanghai was low around the middle and uneven in the regional distribution. The trend of deep aging was obvious and the characteristics of the circle structure were significant;Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that Shanghai elderly population has strong positive spatial autocorrelation, Shanghai elderly population spatial distribution of homogeneity is strong, and the elderly population spatial agglomeration began to spread, suburbanization trend began to intensify. The spatial differences of the elderly population in Shanghai are influenced by various factors such as politics, economy and culture. The public service configuration such as parks and other health service personnel and sports facilities resources have had a significant impact on the spatial distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai.
出处
《人口与发展》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第6期46-54,108,共10页
Population and Development
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"社会力量参与社区老龄人口健康服务的机制研究"(16CGL068)
关键词
上海市
老年人口
空间分布
GIS
Shanghai City
Elderly Population
Spatial Distribution
GIS
