摘要
解决台湾问题、实现国家统一需要经过三个主要阶段:第一阶段双方争统一,平衡对峙;第二阶段双方争统"独",不平衡对峙;第三阶段双方谈统一,对峙破缺,系统相变。当前两岸处于第二阶段,培育和提升国家统一演化动力是该阶段面临的主要问题和政策重点。自由主义、现实主义、建构主义的理论分别从不同角度为提供和增强推动国家统一演化动力提出很好思路,而复杂性思维的视角则在综合上述各种理论优点的基础上,提出强化系统之间非线性作用具体政策建议,通过提高大陆间接力量的转化效率和外溢效果增强对台湾民众的影响力,恢复和巩固台湾岛内的国家统一自生能力。
It takes us to go through three main stages before we can solve the Taiwan Question and realize the reunification of the country. In the first stage, the two sides all hope for reunification with balanced confrontation. In the second stage, the mainland strives for reunification while Taiwan for independence, with unbalanced confrontation. The third stage will see both sides talk about reunification, confrontation being broken and reunification being realized. In fact, currently the two sides are found in the second stage in which to cultivate and enhance evolutionary dynamic of national reunification is our key matter and policy focus. Theories of liberalism, realism and constructivism offer us respectively very good ideas to enhance evolutionary dynamic for national reunification from different angel while complexity thinking perspective puts forward specific policy recommendations to strengthen the system between the nonlinear effect on the basis of the comprehensive advantages of the above-mentioned theories, and at the same time, to restore and consolidate the national reunification viability in Taiwan through the improvement of the mainland＇s influence on the pepole in Taiwan in its indirect power of conversion efficiency and spillover effects.
出处
《台湾研究集刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第5期10-16,共7页
Taiwan Research Journal
基金
国家社科基金一般项目"中国共产党对台方略研究"(15BDJ005)
国家社科基金重大项目"海峡两岸经济一体化研究"(13&ZD053)
关键词
国家统一
台湾问题
复杂性思维
national reunification, Taiwan Question, complexity thinking
