摘要
基于油气管道项目的技术经济特性和后评价实践经验,结合因果分析法和层次分析法相关理论,识别分析了影响油气管道项目经济效益的影响因素,建立了影响因素关系模型,提出了油气管道项目经济效益提升和后续管道项目建设过程中需要注意的问题。研究表明:影响油气管道项目投资和经济效益的主要因素包括价格、输油(气)量、地区发展状况、运行成本、财税政策等,管输量和管输价格是影响管输收入的直接因素,低输量、高成本运营是制约管输企业发展和经济效益提升的根本原因。通过梳理输油(气)规模、资源配置、管输价格、市场发育之间的关系,找出了关键影响因素,旨在为提高油气管道项目经济效益提供对策与建议。
Base on technological and economic characteristics and practical post-evaluation experience of oil and gas pipeline projects, combined with the theories related with cause-effect analysis method and analytic hierarchy process, the factors affecting the economic benefit of oil and gas pipeline projects were identified and analyzed. Then, a model presenting the relations among affecting factors was established, and the considerations during the economic benefit improvement of oil and gas pipeline projects and the construction of subsequent oil and gas pipeline projects were put forward. It is indicated that the factors affecting the investment and economic benefit of oil and gas pipeline projects include mainly price, oil (gas) throughput, regional development, operation cost and fiscal policy. Pipeline throughput and price are the factors that affect directly the income of pipeline transportation. The operation with low delivery rate and high cost is the fundamental cause restricting the development and economic benefit of pipeline enterprises. Finally, the key influential factors were determined by analyzing the relationships among oil (gas) transportation scale, resource allocation, pipeline transportation price and market development, so as to provide the countermeasures and suggestions for increasing the economic benefit of oil and gas pipeline projects.
作者
裴东波
郑颖
赵强
孙伶
PEI Dongbo ZHENG Ying ZHAO Qiang SUN Ling(PetroChina Pipeline Company CNPC Pipeline Research Institute PetroChina Pipeline R & D Center)
出处
《油气储运》
CAS
北大核心
2017年第10期1178-1182,共5页
Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation
基金
中国石油天然气股份有限公司科学研究与技术开发项目"成品油运输价格竞争与协同机制研究"
科信专2016-1
关键词
管道建设
经济效益
项目后评价
净现值
pipeline construction, economic benefit, project post-evaluation, net present value