摘要
丝绸之路经济带沿线各国经济发展规模与水平存在显著差异,各国发展经济都需要国外资金支持。为了能够全面掌握沿线国家外债风险和偿债能力的空间布局情况,采用模糊综合评价法对沿线国家的外债风险程度和偿债能力进行综合评估。实证分析结果表明:中亚区域的哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦和塔吉克斯坦三国的外债综合风险值得持续关注。南亚地区阿富汗外债清偿能力较弱,债务风险较高。西亚地区的土耳其和约旦偿债能力较弱,东欧地区的摩尔多瓦、保加利亚、乌克兰偿债能力较弱,未来有一定偿债风险。
Economic status of nations along Silk Road Economic Belt has significant difference and economic development needs foreign financial support. Empirical analyses show debt aggregate risks of Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan and Tajikistan in Central Asia are worthy of constant attention, through master of spatial layout of debt risk and servicing capability and comprehensive assess- ment of nations along Belt. Debt - paying abilities of Afghanistan in South Asia, Turkey and Jordan in West Asia and Moldova, Bulgaria and Ukraine in Eastern Europe are weaker.
作者
郭辉
郇志坚
GUO Hui HUAN Zhi -jian(Business Sehool of XinJiang Normal University, Urumehi 830017 Center for Central Asian Financial Studies of Ururnehi Center Sub - branch of People＇s Bank of China, Urumehi 830002, China)
出处
《西伯利亚研究》
2017年第3期45-57,共13页
Siberian Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(14CGJ019)
新疆维吾尔自治区软科学研究项目(2016D07009)
新疆普通高校人文社会科学研究基地重点项目(040314B02)
新疆普通高校人文社会科学研究基地重点项目(040314B03)
霍尔果斯重大研究项目(HEGS-2016ZDYJXM-YB03)
关键词
丝绸之路经济带
外债
偿债能力
Silk Road Economic Belt
debt
debt - paying ability
