摘要
文章利用1960~2004年瓯江上游主要来水的年洪峰流量资料,对瓯江干流及其支流楠溪江的年洪峰流量进行了频率分析和洪峰的遭遇分析;在此基础上,建立了洪灾发生年份的灰色-马尔可夫预测模型,并对下一次洪灾的时间进行了预测。
In this paper,the flow rate of flood peak in the upper reaches of the Oujiang river is analyzed with the help of the documents from 1960 to 2004and the frequency analysis of flood peak is also carried out.On this basis,the grey-markov prediction model of the year of the flood was established,and the time of the next flood was predicted.
出处
《太原学院学报（自然科学版）》
2017年第3期18-21,共4页
Journal of TaiYuan University:Natural Science Edition
