摘要
文章运用生产函数法测度我国31个工业行业产能利用率并进行评价得出,产能过剩行业为传统重工业,垄断行业产能依然不足。与此同时,利用向量自回归协整分析得出价格指数对产能利用率具有正向作用、库存率和企业亏损面对产能利用率具有反向作用,进一步通过脉冲响应函数与图示法分析得出,当期价格指数、库存率与滞后2期的产能利用率变化相匹配,当期的企业亏损面与滞后4期的产能利用率变化相匹配。
This paper uses production function method to measure the capacity utilization of China＇s 31 industries, and ob- tains the evaluation result that the industries with excess production capacity are always the traditional heavy industries, and that the monopoly industry is still insufficient in production capacity. Meanwhile, the paper uses the vector auto-regression co-integra- tion to make analysis and draw a conclusion that price index has a positive effect on capacity utilization, and that inventory rate and the enterprise losses scale have a reverse effect on capacity utilization. Finally the paper makes a further analysis through the impulse response function and graphic method to reach a conclusion that the current price index and inventory rate match the capacity utilization change of the Lag Phase II, and that the current enterprise losses scale match the capacity utilization change of Lag Phase IV.
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第16期121-125,共5页
Statistics & Decision
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(16BJY011)
关键词
工业行业
产能利用率
测度
匹配定位
industries
rate of capacity utilization
measurement
matching location
