摘要
在分析农业技术扩散系统仿真基本原理和仿真模型构建思路的基础上,提出模型构建和仿真分析的主要步骤。进而确定系统变量,设计相关方程,确定仿真参数,进行仿真测试。仿真测试结果表明,模型符合逻辑预期,也对各参数具有一定的敏感性,具有一定程度的科学性和适用性。采用Matlab软件编程计算,进行农户知识行为(知识对接行为、知识共享行为和知识创新行为)、公司行为(技术推广行为、共享激励行为、协同创新行为)以及社会网络和社会心理等因素对农业技术扩散效果的作用机制的仿真分析。结果表明,上述因素会对农业技术扩散带来不同程度的影响,要促进农业技术扩散,需要围绕相关因素及其作用机制提出针对性政策建议。
Based on the analysis of agriculture technology diffusion, we provide the main steps and the system variables, relative equations, simulating parameters to conduct the simulation experiments. The result shows that the model matches the theoretical expectation, which is sensitive to the parameters, and it is applicable in practices. We use Matlab to simulate the influencing mechanism of the farmers - knowledge behaviors （docking, sharing and innovation）, company behaviors （technology promotion behavior, sharing encourage behavior and coordination innovation behavior） and social networks as well as social psychology factors on agriculture technology diffusion effect. The simulation results show that every factors may affect the agricultural technology diffusion and promote the diffusion. Counter-measure policy can be proposed on the basis of these findings.
出处
《系统管理学报》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第4期701-712,共12页
Journal of Systems & Management
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71563027)
江西省研究生创新专项资金资助项目(YC2013-B015)
关键词
农业技术扩散
农户知识行为
系统模型
建模
仿真
aagriculture technology diffusiont farmers knowledge behavior
systematic model
model building
simulation
