摘要
以我国31个省份作为研究对象,综合运用熵权法、系统耦合协调度模型、探索性和空间回归模型等方法,研究了2005、2010和2015年三次产业融合发展水平的时空差异变化。研究表明:(1)我国三次产业融合发展的综合水平总体呈上升趋势,并且,东部、东北部、中部和西部四大经济地区也符合此整体趋势;相比之下,在我国一二三产业中,工业的发展水平最高,农业次之,第三产业最低。(2)从整体来看,虽然我国三次产业融合发展水平处于拮抗期且耦合协调度不高,但其大致呈上升趋势,尤其是处于勉强协调类型的省份数量由原来的北京、天津、上海3个省份增加至9个省份。(3)就空间角度而言,我国三次产业融合发展水平的耦合协调度具有明显的空间非均衡性,呈"东高—西低"格局,即东部沿海省份和东北地区的辽宁省耦合协调度较高,中部省份次之,而西部省份的耦合协调度最低且处于濒临失调状态。(4)从空间关联性来看,我国三次产业融合发展水平具有正相关性,并且产业融合发展水平的HH型主要集聚在东部环渤海地区和长三角地区。
Taking the 31 provinces of China as the research object, the article used the entropy-weighing method , coupling coordination degree model, the exploratory and spatial regression model to study the spatial difference of the three industrial convergence development in 2005, 2010and2015.Research shows that： 1）The overall level of China＇ s three industries convergence has risen .And the China＇ s Four Districts meet this trend of all. In addition, it also shows that by contrast, China＇ s industrial development level is the highest, followed by agricultural, the lowest the third industry. 2）Viewed as a whole, although the development level of China＇ s three industrial convergence is at the stage of antagonism and coupling coordination degree is not high, the coupling coordinative is on the increase. In particular, the number of provinces in the mild type of disorder has increased from Beijng, Tianjin and Shanghai to 9 provinces. 3）From the space-time angle, the coupling coordination degree of China＇ s three industrial integrated development reflects the non-balanced in space. It has showed high in the east and low in the west .The coupling coordination degree of the most eastern coastal area and Liaoning of the northeast are higher than the mid- western region. The western individual province is lowest and is on the verge of disorder. 4）From the perspective of spatial correlation, the development level of China＇s three industries convergence has positive correlation and the HH type mainly concentrated in Bohai Rim and Yangtze River Delta.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第7期105-113,共9页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71363015
71503101)
国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDA041)
国家民委研究项目(2016-GMF-018)
湖南省"湖湘青年英才计划"支持项目(湘财行指[2016]82号)
湖南省教育厅优秀青年项目(16B218)
关键词
三次产业
融合发展
时空分异
耦合协调
three industries
integrated development
spatial-temporal difference
coupling coordination
