摘要
2016年,我国经济总量74.4万亿,增长6.7%,实现了政府的经济目标,第四季度增长6.8%,呈平稳向好之势,但还不足以判定已经进入周期上升阶段。目前,政府政策(加投资和稳增长、去产能和去杠杆,以及财政和货币的双松或一松一紧)形成一种不可能三角,经济运行风险进一步加大,鉴于2017年形势的高度不确定性,国内的安排和应对之策,应适当降低增长目标,重点从稳增长转向防风险,逐渐变重税体制为轻税模式。
In 2016, China＇ s economic aggregate reached 74.4 trillions yuan, representing 6.7% growth, which reached the government＇ s economic target. The 4th quarter growth is 6.8%, indicating the economy is going steadily towards a better direction. However, it is not enough to judge that economic growth has been in a circular stage of rise. Currently, the government policies（increasing investments and stabilizing growth, cutting overcapacity and de-leveraging, double loose or one loose one tight fiscal and monetary policies） have formed an impossible triangle and the economic operation risk is increasing. In view of the high uncer- tainty of the economic situations, the domestic planning and countermeasures should lower properly the growth target, turn the focus of stabilizing growth to preventing risks, and gradually change heavy taxation into light taxation.
出处
《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期30-40,共11页
Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）
关键词
中国
宏观经济分析
经济政策
经济运行风险
税制改革
减税降负
China
macro-economic analysis
economic policy
economic operation risk
taxation reforna
tax cuts to reduce burden
