摘要
在对2000-2013年河南省物流业碳排放测算基础上,基于协整检验、Granger检验、脉冲响应和方差分解分析法实证研究了物流业碳排放与能源消耗、经济增长之间的关系。研究表明,三者之间存在协同增长关系;物流业经济增长是碳排放的Granger原因,反之则不成立,这说明靠牺牲环境来获得经济增长的做法不可行;物流业经济增长与能源消耗对碳排放较大,其中经济增长贡献更多;物流业经济增长与碳排放的关系曲线呈波动幅度不断减小的"N"型趋势,随时间发展,经济增长对碳排放的影响逐渐减小。
Based on Henan Province logistics industry carbon emissions calculation, using cointegra- tion test, Granger causality test, pulse response and variance decomposition, the paper analyzes the rela- tionship between the logistics industry carbon emissions and energy consumption and economic growth. The result shows that there is a long - term equilibrium relationship between carbon emissions of the logis- tics industry and energy consumption and the economic growth; economic growth of the logistics industry is the Granger cause of carbon emissions, but carbon emissions is not the Granger cause of economic growth; which shows that by sacrificing the environment to achieve economic growth is not feasible; eco- nomic growth and energy consumption of logistics industry contribute to carbon emission, and economic growth contributes more, the relationship curve of logistics industry economic growth and carbon emission appeared the tendency of ＂N＂ that fluctuates decreases, but over time, the impact gradually reduces.
出处
《系统科学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第2期112-116,共5页
Chinese Journal of Systems Science
基金
国家社科基金年度项目(16BJY061)
关键词
物流业
碳排放
能源消耗
GRANGER检验
脉冲响应
logistics industry
carbon emission
energy consumption
Granger test
impulse re- sponse
