摘要
会展中心作为带动城市和区域经济的一种重要的现代公共服务业建筑类型,具有客流规模大、瞬时客流特征明显等交通特点,在此类建筑设计过程中需要对大型展会期间客流进行准确的预测,为会展建筑的规划设计,以及配套交通设施建设提供必要的依据和数据的支持。基于对长春东北亚国际会展中心项目的实践,探索一种支撑大型展会客流预测方法。在对国内大型会展案例中客流类比分析的基础上,以客流规模预测为目标导向,建立以会展客流分类和相关出行链分析为基础的会展客流规模预测方法,推导出会展客流规模、客流构成、到达时间分布等关键指标预测,为后续同类型的项目提供一定的借鉴。
Exhibition is an important drive of modem society and playing a key role in regional economy. This large scale of building type will generate obvious instantaneous traffic flow, having complicated traf- fic characteristics. Thus it is necessary to precisely forecast traffic demands during exhibition activities to support the architecture design with accurate scales of different types of transport supporting facilities. Ac- cording to the practice of Changchun Northeast Asia International Exhibition project, this paper focuses on a method of traffic forecast to support architecture design. Based on the analysis of the domestic large exhibi- tion case studies, with traffic forecast oriented, it is to establish exhibition viewers classification and traf- fic related trip chain based traffic flow forecasting method to predict the scale of the exhibition, distribution and other key indicators derived from the exhibition scale, traffic flow, and traffic arrival. This paper will provide a method of traffic forecasting reference for the future the same type of project.
出处
《交通节能与环保》
2017年第3期58-62,共5页
Transport Energy Conservation & Environmental Protection
关键词
客流预测
客流构成
出项链分析
traffic forecasting
traffic demand Structure
trip chain analysis
