摘要
针对目前制造商与物流公司之间所存在的道德风险问题,利用演化博弈理论和系统动力学理论研究了双方策略博弈的演化过程,提出了能够降低该供应链中道德风险的策略。首先基于制造商和物流公司合作过程中的诚信和败德行为,建立了其道德风险的演化博弈模型并分析了演化路径。根据制造商与物流公司的博弈演化模型建立了它们的系统动力学模型,利用vensim PLE5.6a软件仿真系统动力学模型验证了演化博弈模型的分析结果。最后利用仿真分析结果提出了能够有效降低供应链道德风险的双边动态惩罚策略。
As the problem of moral hazard exists in current manufacturers and logistics companies ,the paper used evolutionary game and system dynamics theory to study on the evolution of moral hazard, put forward strategy that can reduce the moral hazard in the supply chain.. Firstly, based on the integrity and immoral behavior of the process of cooperation between the manufacturer and logistics company,the paper established the evolutionary game model of moral hazard and analyzes the evolutionary path.A ccording to the game evolution model of manufacturers and logistics company the system dynamics model was established and used vensim PLE5.6a simulates the evolutionary equilibrium and validate the result of analysis. Finally put forward the two sides of the dynamic penalty strategy that can effectively reduce the risk of supply chain by the simulation results.
出处
《机械设计与制造》
北大核心
2017年第6期259-262,共4页
Machinery Design & Manufacture
关键词
供应链
博弈论
道德风险
系统动力学
Supply Chain
Game Theory
Moral Hazard
System Dynamics
