摘要
本文利用Moore指数和因子分析法分别测算了全国及东中西部2000~2015年的产业结构跨期演变程度和新型城镇化水平,并运用统计分析法及固定效应模型、全面FGLS估计模型和动态面板模型对产业结构跨期演变对新型城镇化水平的影响效应进行分析。研究结果显示:(1)产业结构跨期演变程度大小依次为东、西、中部,新型城镇化水平高低依次为东、中、西部,均呈现出区域差异性。(2)全国及东西部产业结构跨期演变对新型城镇化建设有明显的促进作用,中部作用不明显,且结果稳健,具有一定的科学性。可见,加快产业结构跨期演变,推进"产城一体化",是推动新型城镇化建设的重要途径。
This paper respectively calculates inter-temporal evolution of industrial structure based on Moore index and new urban- ization level based on factor analysis in China as a whole and in the east, central and west areas in China separately from 2000 to 2015, and analyzes the impact of industrial structure evolution on new urbanization level using statistical analysis, fixed effect model, FGLS esti- mation model and dynamic panel data model. The calculation results show that the degree of industrial structure evolution in eastern region is higher than the west index, west structure evolution is higher than the central index, and new urbanization level in eastern region is higher than the central index, central structure evolution is higher than the west index. Research shows that, industrial structure evolution has a positive impact on the new urbanization level for both the nation and the three major areas of China, but the effect intensity in the central region is not significant. This paper concludes that the vital approach of promoting the construction of the new urbanization is speed- ing up the evolution of industrial structure and Dromoting the ＂inter,ration of citv and industry＂.
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第6期119-127,共9页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"西部农村居民消费潜能释放研究"(项目编号:14BSH067)
陕西省社会科学基金项目"陕西省高新技术小微企业集群融资模式创新研究"(项目编号:2015D050)
陕西省科技厅软科学项目"陕西省农民专业合作社利益分配机制研究--基于生命周期视角"(项目编号:2014KRM57)
陕西省教育厅专项科研项目"陕西省文化资源及特色文化产业发展路径研究"(项目编号:15JK1027)
关键词
新型城镇化
产业结构
区域差异
产城一体化
固定效应模型
方差膨胀因子
new urbanization
industrial structure
regional difference
integration of city and industry
fixed effect model
VIF
