摘要
1978年家庭联产承包责任制兴起显著促进了中国农业增长。但近来这一观点受到挑战,有学者强调这一过程中,集体化时期积累的灌溉设施和机械化发挥的积极作用。本文尝试处理家庭联产承包责任制这一制度变迁的内生性,并利用初始固定资产与天气滞后的外生变化来识别因果关系。通过使用1970—1987年的省际面板,在改进灌溉、机械化、天气与制度变迁等关键数据后,面板工具变量法的估计结果显示,家庭联产承包责任制对于中国农业增长有显著正效应。
The mainstream view that decollectivization significantly contributed to China＇s agricultural growth has recently been challenged by revisionists, who emphasize the positive effects of the socialist legacy, such as irrigation and mechanization. This study contributes to this debate by explicitly recognizing the endogeneity of institutional changes and exploits exogenous variations in initial fixed assets and lagged weather shocks for identification. With improved data on irrigation, mechanization, weather and institutional changes in a provincial-level dataset for the 1970 1987 period, the results of panel instrumental estimations reveal that the Household Responsibility System had a significantly positive effect on China＇s agricultural growth.
出处
《经济学（季刊）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第1期815-832,共18页
China Economic Quarterly
基金
山东大学人文社科重大研究项目(12RWZD12)
自主创新基金青年团队项目(IFYT1209)的支持
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473149)的资助
关键词
家庭联产承包责任制
去集体化
中国农业增长
household responsibility system, decollectivization, Chinese agriculturalgrowth
