摘要
以福建省2004-2014年数据为基础,构建"五化"评价指标体系,通过耦合协调度模型测算"五化"耦合协调度,并运用灰色GM(1,N)模型分析"五化"协调发展影响因素。研究表明:(1)福建省"五化"协调发展呈现出"低发展低耦合-低发展高耦合-高发展低耦合-高发展高耦合"的特征。(2)"五化"协调发展既要注重各子系统的发展质量,同时要平衡各子系统间的发展差距,规避短板问题。(3)城镇化和绿色化对"五化"协调发展具有正向驱动作用,工业化、信息化和农业现代化则抑制"五化"协调发展。
Based on the data of Fujian from 2006 to 2014, this paper constructs a evaluation index system about the "Five Synchronization" ,and then uses the coordination model to measures the coupling degree of the "Five Synchronization",and analysis the factors of the "Five Synchronization" by GM (1,N) model. The results show that: (l) The "Five Synchronization" characteristic of Fujian is "low development low coupling-low development high coupling- high development low coupling-high development high coupling ". (2) In order to develop "Five Synchronization" ,it is necessary to focus on the development quality of each subsystem, but also should pay attention to balance the development gap between the subsystems for avoiding the short board issues. (3)Urbanization and Greenization has a positive influence on the "Five Synchronization" ,but the rest three will suppress the development of "Five Synchronization".
出处
《中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
2017年第2期21-26,共6页
Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
教育部人文社会科学项目"农林畜区域耦合距离与政策研究"(15YJCZH1538)
关键词
工业化
城镇化
信息化
农业现代化
绿色化
协调发展
industrialization
urbanization
informatization
agricultural modernization
greenization
synchronization