摘要
该文认为,生产性公共支出与经济增长率存在倒"U"型关系,虽然生产性公共服务有助于提高产出水平,但是当支出过高时,又会引起税率提高,从而对经济增长产生负面影响,因此生产性公共支出存在最优规模。不同经济活动主体以及不同层级的政府有不同的目标及行为模式,并且不同层级的政府在提供公共服务方面又各有利弊,中央政府需要在准确预期这些行为模式及权衡利弊的基础上划分两级政府提供生产性公共服务职责,使其趋近于最优规模。该文基于我国1995-2015年的涵盖31个省份的面板数据进行实证分析后发现我国的生产性公共支出与经济增长率呈负相关关系,这启示我们目前我国过度依赖GDP的官员政绩考核指标强化了地方政府扩大生产性开支的内在动力,使之超越了最优规模,也为进一步划分中央和地方政府的生产性公共服务供给职责提供了借鉴。
Although the productive public services help to improve the level of output, but the too high expenditure may cause the increase in tax, which inversely has a negative impact on economic growth. So the productive public expenditure has the optimal scale. The central government needs to accurately forecast governments＇ behaviors of different levels and weigh the pros and cons, and then divides the responsibility of providing productive public services into two levels to approach the optimal scale. Based on the panel data of China in 31 provinces from 1995 to 2015, the empirical analysis finds that China＇s productive public expenditure and the economic growth rate is negatively correlated, which reveals the strengthening on local expansion on their productive public expenditure by the evaluation on official performance excessively relying on GDP.
出处
《上海经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第4期26-39,共14页
Shanghai Journal of Economics
关键词
生产性公共支出
中央和地方政府公共支出职责划分
动态面板回归
Productive Public Expenditure
Division of Expenditure Responsibilities betweenCentral and Local Governments
Dynamic Panel Regression
