摘要
通过对杭州航区航道、锚地、码头、船闸等通航环境的调研,分析杭州航区近5年内船舶交通事故的历史数据,并对现有分布规律及其影响航道运输的因素进行归纳,建立杭州航区重点事故及堵航段船舶碰撞、搁浅、火灾概率计算模型,利用风险分析和网格化定量风险评估方法,对船舶通航区域的通航风险进行量化评估,旨在探索一个适于杭州航区的安全运输与管理模式。
B ased on the investigation and analysis of the navigable environment of Hangzhou navigation a re a , an chorage, d o ck , ship lock and so o n , research on the historical data of ship traffic accidents in Hangzhou area in Recent5 Y e a r s. The existing distribution rules and the factors influencing the waterway transportation are summarized and an alyzed,the calculation model of ship collision , stranding and fire probability is established for the key accidents in theHangzhou navigation a re a , and quantitatively a sse ss the navigable risk of the navigable a re a . It aim s at exploring a safetransportation and management model suitable for Hangzhou navigation a re a .
作者
郑大明
江莉
ZHENG Da-ming JIANG Li(Zhejiang Institute of Communications, Hangzhou 311112, China Tongji Zhejiang College, Traffic and Transportation Engineering Department, Jiaxing 314051, China)
出处
《浙江交通职业技术学院学报》
CAS
2017年第1期32-34,86,共4页
Journal of Zhejiang Institute of Communications
基金
2014年度浙江省交通运输厅交通教育专项(2014J06)
关键词
通航环境
风险评估
管控对策
navigation environment
risk assessm en t
control countermeasures
