摘要
研究了需求随机环境下电力企业关于电源建设与电力调度的最优决策;考虑电源机组的能源结构约束与运营发电期内的碳排放总量约束,构建了以总成本最小化为目标的带补偿二阶段随机规划模型;定性分析了模型的最优解与装机容量等其它参数之间的联系;以南方电网公司为例,基于真实的数据并考虑政府的规划建议与企业自身的低碳化发展要求,利用情景生成法求解随机规划模型。结果反映了电力系统发展过程中环保绩效与总成本之间的矛盾之外,为企业在实践运作中计划期的电力建设决策以及运营期的发电决策提供了一些有价值的建议。
To describe the optimal grid＇ s decisions of generator construction and power generation under stochastic environment, a recourse model with respect to energy structure and emission constraints is developed to minimize the total cost within the production cycle. The relationship of generator capacity and optimal solution along with other parameters is analytically discussed. A real case study from the China Southern Power Grid is studied. To solve the stochastic programming model, a scenario generation method is addressed on the realistic data. In the meantime, the related government planning proposals and company＇ s low-carbon development schedules are considered while building the constraints. The result from the numerical analysis reflects the paradox from keep- ing economic development and controlling the emission. The suggestions concerning the power grid construction in planning horizon and generation strategy in operation period are provided with practical value.
作者
马秋卓
李沁
宋海清
MA Qiu-zhuo LI Qin SONG Hai-qing(College of Economics and Management, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou 510642, China Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510420, China Lingnan College, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China)
出处
《运筹与管理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第2期106-116,134,共12页
Operations Research and Management Science
基金
华南农业大学校长基金
华南农业大学青年骨干教师基金资助
关键词
能源结构
碳排放
电网扩展
二阶段带补偿随机优化
energy structure
carbon emission
power grid expansion
stochastic programming with recourse model
