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中国工程科技农业领域2035技术预见研究 被引量:6

Technology Foresight Research on China's Agricultural Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
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摘要 为了提高"中国工程科技2035发展战略研究"农业领域工程科技发展趋势研判的科学性,本文采用技术预见方法,通过广泛征集技术预见清单,在此基础上开展了两轮问卷调查。基于调查分析结果,结合专家研判,初步明确了农业领域工程技术发展的总体特征,提出了农业领域12个关键技术方向;针对目前人才与研发投入是农业领域发展的主要制约因素,提出了农业领域关键技术方向发展策略。技术预见结果可为2035农业领域工程科技发展战略的制定提供支撑。 To improve the scientific judgment of the development strategy for China's agricultural engineering science and technology to 2035, the technology foresight method was used. This method entailed a wide collection of detailed technology foresight lists and two rounds of a questionnaire survey. Based on the survey results, which were studied and judged by specialists, overall development characteristics of agricultural engineering science and technology were confirmed, and then 12 directions for key technologies in agri- culture were put forward. Furthermore, a development strategy for key technologies in agriculture was proposed in order to overcome a lack of talent and of R&D inputs in agriculture. In conclusion, technology foresight results can provide important support for creating development strategies for China's agricultural engineering science and technology to 2035.
出处 《中国工程科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第1期87-95,共9页 Strategic Study of CAE
基金 中国工程院咨询项目"中国工程科技2035发展战略研究"(2015-ZD-14)
关键词 农业领域工程科技 技术预见 关键技术 战略研究 德尔菲法 agricultural engineering science and technology technology foresight key technology strategic research Delphi method
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  • 1中国工程科技中长期发展战略研究项目组编..中国工程科技中长期发展战略研究[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,2015:170.
  • 2中国可持续发展研究会编..生物技术与未来农业[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,2016:434.

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