摘要
文中从价值链角度出发,刻画了两者通过结构性嵌入和关系性嵌入的价值链互动关系,并立足于上海市生产性服务业与制造业现状,构建了基于价值链视角的上海市生产性服务业与制造业互动关系演进的VAR模型,基于1986-2014年间的产值数据的实证分析发现:上海市生产性服务业价值链各个环节与制造业间存在长期协整关系,具体而言,处于上游的金融业与商务服务、中游的信息传输以及下游交通运输、仓储和邮政业在与制造业价值链的相互嵌入互动下,对制造业增加值都有着长期的正向影响,生产性服务业整体对制造业增加值的影响占了46%,占了较大一部分比重,而其对自身的影响占54%。基于上述结论,提出了促进上海市产业有效互动的政策建议。
To the value chain perspective,this paper depicts the value chain interaction between the two through structural embedding and relational embedding. Based on the status quo of productive service industry and manufacturing industry in Shanghai,this paper constructs a model of Shanghai productivity based on value chain The VAR model of the evolution of the interactive relationship between service industry and manufacturing industry. Based on the empirical analysis of the output value data from 1986 to 2014,it is found that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between all aspects of the value chain of manufacturing services in Shanghai and the manufacturing industry. Upstream of the financial and business services,the middle reaches of the information transmission and downstream transport,storage and postal industry and the manufacturing value chain embedded in each other,interaction,the added value of the manufacturing sector has a long-term positive impact,producer services Industry as a whole accounted for 46% of the added value of manufacturing,accounting for a large proportion of the proportion of its own impact on 54%. Based on the above conclusions,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the effective interaction of Shanghai industry.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2017年第2期127-131,共5页
Logistics Engineering and Management
关键词
价值链
生产性服务业
制造业
VAR模型
value chain
producer services industry
manufacturing industry
VAR model
