摘要
借鉴区域环境风险系统理论,结合乡村土地旅游化流转风险实际情况,深入分析乡村土地旅游化流转风险系统及其影响因素,并利用灰色统计方法和二元语义方法构建乡村土地旅游化流转风险评价指标体系及其综合评价模型。基于上述分析,以福建省泉州市乡村旅游地为例,对其土地旅游化流转风险进行实证分析。结果表明:福建省泉州市3个乡村旅游地中,A1、A3的土地旅游化流转风险等级为"较低",粮食安全受威胁程度是影响其风险等级的主要因素,是其风险管理的重点;A2的土地旅游化流转风险等级为"中等",粮食安全受威胁程度和收益分配不公平程度是影响其风险等级的主要因素,是其风险管理的重点。
In order to manage and control the risk of land transfer during the development of rural tourism, the research on the risk assessment becomes crucial. Based on the regional environmental risk system theory and combined with the actual situation of land transfer risk, this paper thoroughly analyzed the land transfer risk system and its influencing factors and used gray statistical method and two-tuple semantic approach to construct the assessment index system and comprehensive assessment model of land transfer during the development of rural tourism. Based on the above analysis, this paper conducted an empirical analysis on the land transfer risk with the rural tourism destinations in Quanzhou as a case. The result showed that among the 3 rural tourism destinations in Quanzhou, the land transfer risk grade of A1 and A3 was ranked as ＂low＂ level. The main factor influencing the level of risk was the threat to food security, which was the emphasis of its risk management. In addition, the land transfer risk grade of the rural tourism destination A2 was ranked as ＂medium＂ level. The degree of food security being threatened and unfair distribution of income were the major factors affecting its risk level rank, which were the emphases of its risk management.
出处
《福建农林大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
2017年第1期71-76,共6页
Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
联校教育社科医学研究论文奖计划项目(ZS2015005)
福建省社科规划一般项目(FJ2015B217)
关键词
乡村旅游
土地流转
风险评价
灰色统计方法
二元语义方法
rural tourism
land transfer
risk assessment
gray statistic method
two-tuple semantic approach
